Infographics

A coronavirus study done by researchers at University of Hong Kong-Shenzhen Hospital studied a family of seven after their visit from Wuhan, China between Dec 29, 2019 and Jan 4, 2020, who then returned to Shenzhen.

None of the family members had contacts with Wuhan markets or animals. Two had visited a Wuhan hospital. Six of the seven were infected.

Read details at The Lancet, which is doing a great job of tracking the coronavirus.

Whistleblower death

Chinese citizens were allowed by the communist government to see a rare negative update this week, after an original coronavirus whistleblower Dr. Li Wenliang, died from the coronavirus. He had been reprimanded for “severely disrupting social order.” Read more at The Epoch Times

100 million people could be infected with the Wuhan coronavirus by Feb. 20, 2020, using a conservative 2.5 infection rate geometric projection. (not the worse 3.8 infection rate projected for coronavirus).

This is not a prediction, since successful quarantines and possible vaccines could slow the spread.

Blue line: Actual number of reported cases at 4,515 as of January 27.

Feb. 6 UPDATE: 31,525 cases. (South China Morning Post)

Orange line: Progression if 1 person infects 2-2.5 people.

Spanish flu infection rate: 1.4 – 2.8.

Coronavirus projected infection rate: 3.6-4.0, according to a report by UK researcher Jonathan Read available in PDF from Medrxiv.org.

Chart created by Bianco Research.